Sensitivities

Sales prices of paperboards and FX impact

Metsä Board sells its paperboards worldwide. A large proportion of sales are made in currencies other than euros. Not only changes in the sales prices of paperboards, but also changes in foreign exchange rates have an impact on Metsä Board's result.

Sales prices of market pulp

Changes in the market pulp prices have a significant impact on Metsä Board's profitability. Metsä Board's annual pulp capacity is roughly 1.7 million tonnes, which is used for own paperboard production and partly sold to the market. In addition, the company owns 24.9% of Metsä Fibre, which has an annual pulp capacity of around 4 million tonnes.  

Price of raw wood

In 2023, Metsä Board’s wood use totalled 6.3 million cubic metres. This includes the wood used in Metsä Board’s own pulp/CTMP production  as well as the wood used in the pulp purchased from Metsä Fibre. Wood cost accounts more than 25% of Metsä Board's total costs.

Market prices of paperboards, pulp and pulpwood can be found in Metsä Board's IR-presentation updated quarterly.  (Sources: Fastmarkets RISI, Fastmarkets FOEX, Luke, Skogstyrelsen)
See IR presentations in here. 

The most significant factors affecting Metsä Board's annual operating result and their price sensitivities are described below. Situation as per 30 September 2024.

Component

Unit

Change

Impact on annual operating result

Folding boxboard Price/tonne +/- 10% > EUR 120 million
White kraftliners Price/tonne +/- 10% > EUR 50 million
FX USD/EUR +/- 10% EUR 80 million
  EUR/SEK  +/- 10% EUR -55 million
  GBP/EUR +/- 10% EUR 15 million
Pulp PIX price of SW/HW
per tonne
+/- 10% EUR 50 million
Wood Cost, delivered to Finnish mills +/- 10% EUR 40 million*
  Cost, delivered to Husum +/- 10% EUR 20 million

*) Includes the wood used in pulp purchased from Metsä Fibre